Jeff Brown has collected sales data for his cupcake stand. Calculate the exponential smoothing forecast for period 13 with α = 0.4. And F2 = A1. Round your answers to 2 decimals. Time 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Sales 48 41 37 32 36 31 43 52 60 48 41.9 29.7

Answers

Answer 1

Answer:

The exponential smoothing forecast for period 13 = 39.68

Step-by-step explanation:

As given,

[tex]\alpha[/tex] = 0.4

Time                 Sales                              forcast

1                            48                                  

2                           41                                 48

3                           37                                 48 + [tex]\alpha {(41 - 48)}[/tex] = 45.2

4                           32                                 45.2 + [tex]\alpha {(37 - 45.2)}[/tex] = 41.92

5                           36                                 41.92 + [tex]\alpha {(32 - 41.92)}[/tex] = 37.95

6                           31                                 37.95 + [tex]\alpha {(36 - 37.95)}[/tex] = 37.17

7                            43                                 37.17 + [tex]\alpha {(31 - 37.17)}[/tex] =  34.70

8                           52                                 34.70 + [tex]\alpha {(43 - 34.70)}[/tex] = 38.02

9                           60                                 38.02 + [tex]\alpha {(52 - 38.02)}[/tex] = 43.61

10                          48                                 43.61 + [tex]\alpha {(60 - 43.61)}[/tex] = 50.17

11                           41.9                                 50.17 + [tex]\alpha {(48 - 50.17)}[/tex] = 49.30

12                           29.7                                 49.30 + [tex]\alpha {(41.9 - 49.30)}[/tex] = 46.34

13                                                                    46.34 + [tex]\alpha {(29.7 - 46.34)}[/tex] = 39.68

∴ we get

The exponential smoothing forecast for period 13 = 39.68


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Answers

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Answers

Answer:

(A) Population data

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Answers

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Step-by-step explanation:

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The branch manager of an outlet (Store 1) of a nationwide

chain of pet supply stores wants to study characteristics of her

customers. In particular, she decides to focus on two variables: the

amount of money spent by customers and whether the customers

own only one dog, only one cat, or more than one dog and/or cat.

The results from a sample of 70 customers are as follows:

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Thirty-seven customers own only a dog.
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Construct a 95% confidence interval estimate for the
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Construct a 90% confidence interval estimate for the population proportion of customers who own only a cat.
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following questions:

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e. Based on your answers to (c) and (d), how large a sample should the manager take?

Answers

Answer:

1. ( 19.1416, 23.5384,)

2. (0.276348, 0.46651)

3. the sample size = 170.73 approximately 171

4. sample size = 334.07 approximately 334

5. sample of 334 should be taken by manager

Step-by-step explanation:

mean = bar x = 21.34 dollars

size of sample n = 70

standard deviation of sample = 9.22

we use t distribution as the population standard deviation is not known.

95% Confidence interval

1-α = 0.95

α = 0.05

degree of freedom = 70-1 = 69

α/2 = 0.025

using the t distribution tsble,

= 1.9949

confidence interval = [tex]21.34+-1.9949*[\frac{9.22}{sqrt(70)}] \\[/tex]

= 21.34 +- (1.9949*1.10200)

= 21.34 + 2.1984, 21.34 - 2.1984

= (23.5384, 19.1416)

the confidence interval of the mean amount spent at the supply store can be written as 19.1416<u<23.5384

2. sixe of those who only have a cat

p = 26/70 = 0.371429

at 90 % confidence interval,

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we use the z table here

z(0.10/2) = Z(0.05)

= 1.645

[tex]0.371429+-1.645\sqrt} \frac{0.371429(1-0.371429)}{70}[/tex]

= 0.371429 +-( 1.645 x 0.0578)

= 0.371429 + 0.095081, 0.371429 - 0.095081

= (0.276348, 0.46651)

3. sd = 10$

margin of erro,r e = 1.50$

α = 0.05

using z table

α/2 = Z0.025

= 1.96

sample size = 1.96² * 10² / 1.50²

= 3.8416 * 100/ 2.25

= 170.73

the sample size is approximately 171

d. we have 0.5 as sample proportion now

margin of error = 0.045

α = 0.10

Zα/2 = 0.05

= 1.645

sample size = 1.645²x0.5(1-0.5) / 0.045²

= 0.676506/0.002025

= 334. 07

sample size = 334

5.  sample of 334 should be taken by manager

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